European U19 Championship qualifying Elite Round Round 1

Israel U19 vs Bulgaria U19 analysis

Israel U19 Bulgaria U19
52 ELO 47
4.7% Tilt -3.1%
4066º General ELO ranking 5976º
50º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Israel U19
20.7%
Draw
20.1%
Bulgaria U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
Israel U19
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.1%
Win probability
Bulgaria U19
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Israel U19
-16%
-2%
Bulgaria U19

ELO progression

Israel U19
Bulgaria U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Israel U19
Israel U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2016
SCO
Escocia U19
0 - 1
Israel U19
ISR
49%
24%
27%
52 56 4 0
27 Oct. 2016
ISR
Israel U19
5 - 0
Liechtenstein U19
LIE
82%
13%
6%
52 21 31 0
25 Oct. 2016
ISR
Israel U19
3 - 2
Andorra U19
AND
78%
14%
7%
52 24 28 0
30 Mar. 2016
ISR
Israel U19
2 - 0
Suiza U19
SUI
41%
25%
35%
50 52 2 +2
27 Mar. 2016
TUR
Turquia U19
1 - 0
Israel U19
ISR
72%
17%
12%
51 63 12 -1

Matches

Bulgaria U19
Bulgaria U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2016
BLR
Bielorrusia U19
1 - 0
Bulgaria U19
BGR
37%
25%
38%
47 45 2 0
12 Nov. 2016
DEN
Dinamarca U19
1 - 3
Bulgaria U19
BGR
65%
20%
15%
46 56 10 +1
10 Nov. 2016
BGR
Bulgaria U19
1 - 0
Portugal U19
POR
5%
11%
84%
44 70 26 +2
28 Mar. 2016
BGR
Bulgaria U19
1 - 2
Escocia U19
SCO
20%
22%
58%
45 55 10 -1
25 Mar. 2016
BEL
Bélgica U19
1 - 0
Bulgaria U19
BGR
74%
16%
10%
45 62 17 0