Ismaning vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
13º
10º
34
14º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 1
ISM
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ISM
0 - 0
DAC
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 2
ISM
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
ISM
3 - 3
TAM
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 2
BUC
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VRG
0 - 2
ERL
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VRG
2 - 2
RAI
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
HEI
6 - 1
VRG
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VRG
0 - 1
FCP
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 1
VRG
28%
22%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |