Ismaning vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 2
ISM
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 1
FCP
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
ISM
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 2
ISM
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 1
SON
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 2
SCH
35%
25%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HAH
1 - 2
BOG
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOG
2 - 5
JRE
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FCG
1 - 0
BOG
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 6
RAI
21%
22%
58%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |