Ischia vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ISC
15%
23%
62%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 2
ASM
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 1
ISC
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
ISC
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ISC
2 - 0
TUT
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
USP
1 - 0
GAV
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIG
2 - 1
USP
55%
24%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
USP
0 - 1
USF
15%
22%
64%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
USP
1 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
TUT
1 - 0
USP
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |