Irlanda U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irlanda U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
GER
2 - 2
IRL
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
NED
1 - 0
IRL
69%
18%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
IRL
0 - 1
BEL
26%
24%
51%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
GRC
0 - 2
IRL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
IRL
3 - 0
AZE
66%
19%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
6%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ISR
0 - 4
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
NED
2 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
BEL
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |