Ascenso MX Finals Final

Global 1-2

Irapuato vs Tijuana analysis

Irapuato Tijuana
70 ELO 71
-3.9% Tilt 1%
871º General ELO ranking 622º
22º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
45.1%
Irapuato
25.5%
Draw
29.4%
Tijuana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
Irapuato
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.4%
Win probability
Tijuana
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Irapuato
-3%
-5%
Tijuana

ELO progression

Irapuato
Tijuana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Irapuato
Irapuato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2011
IRA
Irapuato
1 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
41%
28%
32%
69 72 3 0
11 May. 2011
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 1
Irapuato
IRA
49%
27%
24%
69 72 3 0
08 May. 2011
IRA
Irapuato
2 - 0
Atlante II
ATL
55%
24%
21%
69 65 4 0
04 May. 2011
ATL
Atlante II
1 - 0
Irapuato
IRA
40%
27%
33%
71 64 7 -2
01 May. 2011
IRA
Irapuato
1 - 1
Dorados
DOR
53%
25%
22%
71 67 4 0

Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2011
IRA
Irapuato
1 - 0
Tijuana
TIJ
41%
28%
32%
72 69 3 0
11 May. 2011
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 1
Irapuato
IRA
49%
27%
24%
72 69 3 0
08 May. 2011
LEO
León
0 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
54%
24%
22%
72 73 1 0
04 May. 2011
TIJ
Tijuana
1 - 0
León
LEO
37%
27%
36%
73 75 2 -1
01 May. 2011
TIJ
Tijuana
5 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
48%
27%
24%
72 68 4 +1