Irapuato vs Sporting Canamy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
15º
4º
28
10º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
11º
|
75.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
IPC
0 - 0
IRA
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IRA
4 - 1
PDC
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IRA
0 - 0
HDZ
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 4
IRA
11%
21%
69%
|
73 | 16 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 1
LUL
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Canamy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 2
DEV
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
REB
18%
24%
57%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IPC
1 - 1
CAN
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
PDC
15%
23%
62%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAN
5%
10%
85%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | -2 |