Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Group B Round 4

Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX analysis

Irapuato Lobos ULMX
73 ELO 42
0.5% Tilt 10.9%
899º General ELO ranking 6089º
23º Country ELO ranking 104º
ELO win probability
71.5%
Irapuato
18.9%
Draw
9.6%
Lobos ULMX

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
Irapuato
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.6%
Win probability
Lobos ULMX
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Irapuato
-10%
-2%
Lobos ULMX

Points and table prediction

Irapuato
Their league position
Lobos ULMX
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Petroleros de Salamanca
28
26
100%
Aguacateros de Peribán
26
24
100%
Irapuato
24
23
100%
Gavilanes Matamoros
24
22
100%
Aguacateros CDU
24
21
100%
Reboceros de la Piedad
16
15
0%
CA Zacatepec
16
15
0%
UA Tamaulipas
11
11
100%
Halcones de Zapopan
9
9
100%
Lobos ULMX
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Sporting Canamy
11º
8
7
11º
100%
Colima
12º
0
0
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Irapuato
Lobos ULMX
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Irapuato
Lobos ULMX
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Irapuato
Irapuato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
CAN
Sporting Canamy
1 - 2
Irapuato
IRA
8%
18%
75%
73 42 31 0
15 Sep. 2024
COL
Colima
0 - 1
Irapuato
IRA
7%
17%
77%
73 38 35 0
08 Sep. 2024
IRA
Irapuato
1 - 0
UA Tamaulipas
COR
79%
15%
6%
72 47 25 +1
27 Jun. 2024
LEO
León
3 - 0
Irapuato
IRA
66%
19%
16%
72 81 9 0
12 May. 2024
RVC
Racing de Veracruz
1 - 0
Irapuato
IRA
15%
23%
63%
73 45 28 -1

Matches

Lobos ULMX
Lobos ULMX
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
LUL
Lobos ULMX
2 - 0
Colima
COL
51%
20%
28%
41 37 4 0
13 Sep. 2024
COR
UA Tamaulipas
0 - 0
Lobos ULMX
LUL
61%
21%
18%
40 47 7 +1
08 Sep. 2024
LUL
Lobos ULMX
1 - 1
Aguacateros CDU
AGU
20%
21%
59%
40 58 18 0
28 Apr. 2024
LUL
Lobos ULMX
2 - 1
Sporting Canamy
CAN
42%
24%
34%
38 40 2 +2
20 Apr. 2024
IPC
Inter Playa del Carmen
1 - 0
Lobos ULMX
LUL
70%
19%
12%
38 60 22 0