Irán U23 vs Hong Kong U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irán U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 1
QAT
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
IRQ
3 - 1
IRN
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
IRQ
0 - 1
IRN
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
QAT
2 - 2
IRN
22%
20%
58%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
QAT
2 - 2
IRN
21%
20%
59%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
2 - 1
HKG
20%
21%
59%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
HKG
19%
20%
61%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
UZB
3 - 0
HKG
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
IDN
3 - 1
HKG
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
HKG
1 - 1
PLE
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |