Europa League . 1/64
Global 1-0
Iraklis Thessaloniki vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
IRA
2 - 0
PAN
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2000 |
AEK
2 - 0
IRA
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
FCG
0 - 0
IRA
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
PAN
2 - 2
IRA
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
IRA
4 - 0
PRO
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
FCM
0 - 0
FCG
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
FCG
0 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
FCG
0 - 0
IRA
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 0
FCG
31%
28%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
FCG
0 - 0
LMU
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |