Ipswich Knights vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
6 - 1
IPS
47%
22%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
IPS
2 - 3
LOG
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 0
IPS
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 3
IPS
63%
18%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 6
PEN
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
CAP
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 4
WOL
6%
12%
82%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
BRI
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |