Inverurie Loco Works vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
9º
7º
68
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 0
INV
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
INV
4 - 0
DEV
86%
9%
4%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
INV
2 - 4
CLA
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 2
INV
12%
16%
71%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
INV
23%
20%
56%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 2
NAI
88%
9%
4%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 3
FRA
4%
10%
86%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 2
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
FRA
20%
20%
61%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KEI
2 - 2
FRA
5%
11%
84%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |