Ayacucho FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 0
AYA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 2
UTC
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SRP
3 - 0
AYA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AYA
5 - 3
SPC
28%
24%
47%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
AYA
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
GAR
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
COM
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |