Ayacucho FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 3
SPC
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 0
AYA
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
AYA
54%
25%
20%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
HUA
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
UTC
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |