Apertura Peru Round 5

Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis

Ayacucho FC Sporting Cristal
63 ELO 74
15.1% Tilt 5.8%
3169º General ELO ranking 758º
27º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.7%
Ayacucho FC
26%
Draw
42.2%
Sporting Cristal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
Ayacucho FC
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.2%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ayacucho FC
+3%
+6%
Sporting Cristal

ELO progression

Ayacucho FC
Sporting Cristal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayacucho FC
Ayacucho FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2015
UNI
Universitario Deportes
2 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
44%
27%
29%
65 67 2 0
09 May. 2015
AYA
Ayacucho FC
1 - 0
Sport Loreto
SPO
51%
25%
24%
64 65 1 +1
05 May. 2015
GAR
Cusco FC
3 - 2
Ayacucho FC
AYA
65%
21%
14%
64 76 12 0
02 May. 2015
AYA
Ayacucho FC
0 - 1
Sport Huancayo
HUA
48%
24%
28%
65 66 1 -1
31 Mar. 2015
HUA
Sport Huancayo
1 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
53%
23%
24%
64 67 3 +1

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2015
SPC
Sporting Cristal
3 - 2
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
70%
18%
11%
74 64 10 0
08 May. 2015
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
1 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
25%
26%
48%
74 62 12 0
05 May. 2015
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
56%
23%
20%
74 73 1 0
15 Apr. 2015
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
26%
21%
53%
73 80 7 +1
09 Apr. 2015
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
0 - 0
Sporting Cristal
SPC
45%
24%
31%
73 71 2 0