Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 2
AYA
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
3 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 2
AYA
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 1
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
SPC
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPC
3 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 2
VAL
53%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |