Ayacucho FC vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 4
AYA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AYA
1 - 1
GAR
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 2
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SPC
6 - 0
AYA
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 0
CFC
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 3
MUN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
UCH
0 - 0
MEL
48%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 0
UCH
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -2 |