Apertura Peru Round 1

Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis

Ayacucho FC Comerciantes Unidos
63 ELO 60
20.5% Tilt 5%
3218º General ELO ranking 1962º
25º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
53.7%
Ayacucho FC
23.1%
Draw
23.2%
Comerciantes Unidos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
Ayacucho FC
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.2%
Win probability
Comerciantes Unidos
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ayacucho FC
-4%
-24%
Comerciantes Unidos

ELO progression

Ayacucho FC
Comerciantes Unidos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayacucho FC
Ayacucho FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2018
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
2 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
51%
26%
24%
62 66 4 0
20 Apr. 2018
AYA
Ayacucho FC
4 - 2
Universitario Deportes
UNI
35%
26%
39%
60 69 9 +2
15 Apr. 2018
SPC
Sporting Cristal
5 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
71%
18%
11%
61 74 13 -1
12 Apr. 2018
SRP
Sport Rosario
5 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
51%
27%
23%
64 69 5 -3
06 Apr. 2018
AYA
Ayacucho FC
2 - 3
Comerciantes Unidos
COM
51%
24%
25%
64 65 1 0

Matches

Comerciantes Unidos
Comerciantes Unidos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2018
SRP
Sport Rosario
3 - 0
Comerciantes Unidos
COM
52%
26%
22%
62 68 6 0
22 Apr. 2018
COM
Comerciantes Unidos
1 - 2
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
47%
25%
28%
62 65 3 0
15 Apr. 2018
UNI
Universitario Deportes
1 - 0
Comerciantes Unidos
COM
59%
23%
19%
63 69 6 -1
11 Apr. 2018
COM
Comerciantes Unidos
1 - 3
Sporting Cristal
SPC
27%
23%
49%
65 75 10 -2
06 Apr. 2018
AYA
Ayacucho FC
2 - 3
Comerciantes Unidos
COM
51%
24%
25%
65 64 1 0