Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SBO
3 - 1
AYA
38%
26%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
59%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 2
AYA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 0
LEO
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
TOT
2 - 2
AYA
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
CIE
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |