Inter vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
INT
2 - 3
ROM
53%
22%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 0
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
INT
3 - 4
ATL
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 2
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
INT
1 - 2
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 3
UDI
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
PES
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
TOR
61%
24%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |