Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 3
INT
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
INT
2 - 1
GEN
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FIO
0 - 3
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
INT
5 - 1
TOR
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
MOD
1 - 2
INT
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACL
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VNZ
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 2
BOL
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |