Serie A Round 1

Inter vs Lazio analysis

Inter Lazio
86 ELO 81
-0.5% Tilt -16.4%
General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66.7%
Inter
17.3%
Draw
16%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
Inter
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16%
Win probability
Lazio
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inter
-8%
-7%
Lazio

ELO progression

Inter
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 1938
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 2
Inter
INT
29%
28%
43%
86 71 15 0
17 Apr. 1938
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
68%
17%
15%
86 82 4 0
10 Apr. 1938
TOR
Torino
1 - 1
Inter
INT
54%
22%
24%
86 81 5 0
03 Apr. 1938
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
87%
8%
5%
86 71 15 0
27 Mar. 1938
ACL
ACO Liguria
3 - 1
Inter
INT
40%
24%
36%
86 75 11 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 1938
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
ACO Liguria
ACL
61%
19%
20%
81 76 5 0
17 Apr. 1938
LAZ
Lazio
5 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
67%
18%
14%
80 73 7 +1
10 Apr. 1938
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
31%
21%
47%
80 71 9 0
03 Apr. 1938
TOR
Torino
1 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
57%
20%
22%
81 81 0 -1
27 Mar. 1938
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
61%
20%
19%
81 76 5 0