Internacional vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
SCI
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GOI
2 - 3
SCI
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 0
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 2
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 0
BAN
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
45%
26%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
BOT
55%
24%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
CRZ
0 - 2
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
UNI
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |