Internacional vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 3
FFL
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
SCI
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SCI
3 - 0
ATM
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
SCI
54%
24%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 1
PAL
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
COT
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |