Internacional vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
GOI
1 - 0
SCI
51%
28%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
SCI
2 - 2
ATM
45%
29%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
FLA
1 - 1
SCI
59%
24%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
VAS
2 - 2
SCI
56%
26%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
SCI
2 - 0
BOT
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
BRA
3 - 1
NAU
55%
26%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
BAH
2 - 1
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1991 |
NAU
1 - 0
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
NAU
3 - 1
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |