Instituto vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
29.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 1
INS
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
INS
3 - 1
ALM
52%
29%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 2
INS
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
INS
0 - 0
GBR
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 1
INS
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
ATL
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
GLP
1 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
DYJ
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DES
0 - 3
QUI
20%
28%
52%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |