Instituto vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.4%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
1 - 2
INS
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
INS
0 - 1
AGR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DAL
3 - 0
INS
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 0
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 2
INS
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
RSA
19%
28%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 0
DEF
66%
24%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
DEF
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
UAI
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
UAI
0 - 0
DEF
42%
31%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |