Instituto vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
ATT
2 - 0
INS
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
INS
1 - 1
CAU
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
EST
2 - 0
INS
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
SLM
1 - 4
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
INS
0 - 1
SLO
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
RIV
2 - 2
BOC
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 1
ATT
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CAU
0 - 1
BOC
39%
29%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
EST
1 - 3
BOC
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
BOC
7 - 1
SLM
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |