Instituto vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DHA
2 - 1
INS
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
INS
1 - 3
SAR
59%
26%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
INS
31%
29%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
INS
0 - 0
MER
57%
26%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
INS
0 - 3
FER
55%
27%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 0
SAR
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
BUC
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 2
CEN
33%
27%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
BUC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
IRV
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |