Instituto vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 2
INS
59%
23%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
VEL
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
INS
0 - 0
CEN
30%
27%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 3
INS
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
GLP
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
0 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
GLP
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
IND
3 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |