Instituto vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 2
INS
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
INS
0 - 0
ALD
51%
27%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
INS
25%
29%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
INS
2 - 0
BUC
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
INS
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RAF
5 - 1
ITA
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 0
RAF
41%
27%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
RAF
0 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 2
RAF
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 0
GIM
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |