Instituto vs Atlético Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 0
INS
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 1
INS
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
PAT
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
INS
16%
25%
59%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
SPB
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 1
PAR
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
CCS
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
PAR
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
GIM
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |