Institute vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
63
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AUN
2 - 1
INS
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
INS
1 - 1
LOU
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
46%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
HAR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NEY
0 - 1
WAR
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 4
ARD
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WAR
4 - 2
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 1
WAR
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 1
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |