Institute vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
INS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
INS
6 - 4
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
INS
3 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 3
WAR
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 1
COL
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 1
WAR
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 4
BAL
24%
24%
53%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |