Institute vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 1
INS
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
INS
0 - 4
COL
9%
20%
72%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 2
INS
56%
21%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
INS
0 - 4
LAR
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
DER
3 - 2
INS
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
LIN
6 - 0
PSN
88%
9%
3%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
PSN
2 - 4
DUN
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PSN
0 - 2
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
KNO
4 - 2
PSN
51%
21%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
6 - 4
PSN
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |