Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
BAL
44%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
INS
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
INS
0 - 0
LIM
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 0
DUN
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 2
COL
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
DON
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 0
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |