Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DER
3 - 1
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
INS
0 - 1
POR
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
NEW
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 3
ARD
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 1
KNO
72%
17%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
AUN
3 - 0
LOU
54%
22%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
LOU
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
LOU
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |