Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
INS
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
INS
4 - 2
DON
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
INS
5 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIM
0 - 5
INS
25%
25%
51%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
4 - 2
COA
51%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
LOU
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 2
BAN
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
2 - 0
LOU
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |