Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
INS
4 - 0
KNO
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DON
1 - 4
INS
22%
22%
57%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
INS
0 - 0
BAN
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SYL
3 - 2
INS
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 3
ARD
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AUN
1 - 2
LIS
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LIS
2 - 2
BAN
10%
17%
72%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LIS
1 - 5
LOU
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -3 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
LIS
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |