Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 0
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
56%
22%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
34%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 3
LIS
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 0
LIS
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 3
CLI
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIS
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 5
LIN
15%
22%
62%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |