Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
INS
0 - 1
ARC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
BAL
2 - 5
INS
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
INS
0 - 0
LIM
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
LIS
3 - 1
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIS
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
LIS
1 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
BAN
0 - 3
LIS
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
LIM
1 - 2
LIS
29%
25%
47%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |