Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
INS
1 - 0
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
INS
3 - 1
ARD
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
LIS
1 - 0
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
LIS
3 - 0
BAN
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
LAR
2 - 4
LIS
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
LIS
1 - 3
ARD
52%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
ARC
1 - 1
LIS
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |