Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
72.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CRU
1 - 1
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
INS
0 - 3
CLI
18%
23%
60%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
LIN
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
7 - 0
WAR
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |