Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 0
INS
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LCE
4 - 3
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 4
INS
38%
24%
39%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
INS
33%
24%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 1
COL
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |