Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CLI
2 - 0
INS
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
INS
3 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
INS
2 - 3
GLE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
4 - 0
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 0
DON
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 5
LIN
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 1
NEW
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 1
LIS
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |