Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
5 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 2
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
GLE
3 - 2
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIM
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
LIN
1 - 0
ARD
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 7
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
LOU
0 - 2
LIN
18%
20%
62%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |