Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
INS
3 - 1
OMA
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2002 |
GLE
6 - 1
INS
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
COL
3 - 0
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
INS
2 - 0
ARD
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
POR
4 - 1
INS
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
LIN
0 - 0
CLI
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
OMA
1 - 1
LIN
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
NEW
0 - 6
LIN
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
LIN
1 - 4
LIS
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |