Institute vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
INS
2 - 3
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LIS
4 - 1
INS
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
COL
2 - 5
INS
66%
19%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LIM
1 - 4
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2005 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIM
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
LIM
3 - 0
ARC
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ARD
2 - 1
LIM
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIM
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |