Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
65.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
DER
3 - 2
INS
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
INS
0 - 2
GLE
15%
24%
61%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 2
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 1
LAR
14%
18%
67%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
LAR
3 - 1
LIN
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LAR
2 - 1
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CRU
3 - 0
LAR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
LAR
4 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |