Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
LIM
1 - 6
INS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
INS
1 - 0
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
LAR
2 - 1
DUN
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
LAR
4 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
LAR
0 - 3
ARD
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
ARC
2 - 0
LAR
56%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
LIM
0 - 1
LAR
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |